4 Possible scenarios for Pakistan to go through to the semi-final of the World Cup 2023
Pakistan’s Cricket World Cup 2023 campaign has been a rollercoaster ride of emotions. The team has demonstrated moments of brilliance, but also suffered from inconsistencies and a few heartbreaking defeats. With just two matches remaining, Pakistan’s chances of reaching the semi-final are slim but still mathematically possible.
As of today, November 6th, 2023, the following are the possible scenarios for Pakistan to go through to the semi-final of the World Cup 2023:
Scenario 1: Pakistan wins their remaining matches and New Zealand loses their remaining match.
In this scenario, Pakistan would finish with 10 points and a superior net run rate to New Zealand, guaranteeing them a spot in the semi-finals.
Scenario 2: Pakistan wins their remaining matches and New Zealand wins their remaining match.
In this scenario, Pakistan would finish with 10 points, but their net run rate would be lower than New Zealand’s. This would mean that Pakistan would need to beat England by a significant margin in order to improve their net run rate enough to overtake New Zealand. The exact margin of victory required would depend on the result of the New Zealand-Sri Lanka match.
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Scenario 3: Pakistan wins their remaining matches and Afghanistan wins at least one of their remaining matches.
In this scenario, Pakistan would finish with 10 points, but they would be tied with Afghanistan. This would mean that Pakistan would need to have a superior net run rate to Afghanistan in order to qualify for the semi-finals. The exact net run rate required would depend on the results of the Afghanistan-Australia and Afghanistan-South Africa matches.
Scenario 4: Pakistan loses their remaining matches.
In this scenario, Pakistan would finish with 6 points and would not qualify for the semi-finals.
Here is a table that summarizes the possible scenarios:
| Scenario | Pakistan’s results | New Zealand’s results | Afghanistan’s results | Pakistan’s outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | Loses | Does not matter | Qualifies for semi-finals |
| 2 | Wins | Wins | Does not matter | Qualifies for semi-finals if wins by a significant margin |
| 3 | Wins | Wins | Wins at least one | Qualifies for semi-finals if has a superior net run rate to Afghanistan |
| 4 | Loses | Does not matter | Does not matter | Does not qualify for semi-finals |
It is important to note that these are just the most likely scenarios. There are other, less likely, scenarios in which Pakistan could still qualify for the semi-finals. However, the scenarios listed above are the most realistic ones.
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